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Value Alpha
Value Alpha · Quick Estimate

Know what your business is worth. In 30 seconds.

Enter revenue, EBITDA, industry, growth. Get a VA Range, bear, base and bull, grounded in 11,000+ SMB comps. No signup, runs in your browser. This is a limited analysis: it does not use the licensed datasets a full valuation runs on.

For a negotiation-grade number, run a full valuation - 29 valuation methods across 43 industries, PDF memorandum.

Read the article - how the calculator works →
VA > INPUT
$
$5.0M revenue
$
18.0% margin
-10%8%40%
Ready · VA engines loaded

Estimate based on industry comparables. Not a certified appraisal. A full valuation runs 29 valuation methods plus a sector model: DCF, comparable companies, precedent transactions, bottom-up, asset floor, Monte Carlo, and more.

•VA Range•YOUR CO
AS OF
BEAR
$2.6M
BASE
$4.3M
BULL
$6.7M
1 engines•42 comps
CONFIDENCE 84%
The real thing

Twenty-nine valuation methods. One VA Range.

This is a one-model screening estimate. A full Value Alpha valuation runs 29 valuation methods across 43 industries, then blends them into a VA Range with a detailed report.

Run a valuationView sample report
The Rules

Four rules every valuation must pass

A single-point estimate is not a valuation. A valuation without a date is a rumor. These are the rules we enforce on every output.

01

Range, not point

A valuation is a range. Anyone selling a single number is selling a fiction.

02

Sourced, not guessed

Every number traces back to a comp, a filing, or a published multiple. If you cannot click the source, it is not a valuation.

03

Dated, not static

Every output carries an AS OF timestamp. A valuation without a date is a rumor.

04

Scored, not asserted

Every output carries a confidence score. Trust is a number, not an adjective.

The Real Thing

Twenty-nine valuation methods. One VA Range.

This calculator runs one engine. A paid Value Alpha valuation runs the full set of VA engines - core methods plus sector-specific models - then blends them into the VA Range using industry weight rules.

Core engine

DCF

5-year projection, terminal value, WACC, sensitivity tables.

Core engine

Comparable Companies

EV/Revenue, EV/EBITDA, P/E from 11,000+ reference companies.

Core engine

Precedent Transactions

Real deal multiples from 9,000+ completed transactions.

Core engine

Bottom-Up Unit Economics

Revenue per unit, capacity, and utilization models for services.

Core engine

Asset Floor

Net asset value as the downside boundary of the range.

Core engine

Monte Carlo

10,000 simulations for the full probability distribution.

Sector engine

LBO

Leveraged buyout model with IRR targeting for PE / searcher deals.

Sector engine

Sum-of-the-Parts

Segment-level valuation for multi-business holdings and diversified operators.

Sector engine

Biotech SOTP

Risk-adjusted pipeline NPV per drug program, phase probabilities applied.

Sector engine

SaaS Rule-of-40

Growth + profit blend with NRR, CAC payback, and magic number adjustments.

Sector engine

Franchise Unit

Per-location cash flow models for franchised and multi-unit operators.

Sector engine

Real Estate Floor

Underlying property value for owner-occupied and hospitality businesses.

Run a valuationView sample report
Go Deeper

Read the guides

How-To · 8 min

How the Value Alpha Business Valuation Calculator Works

Under the hood: the industry multiples, the growth adjustment, the confidence scoring, and why the output is a VA Range and not a single number.

Concepts · 12 min

What Is Alpha in Private Business? The Five Sources of Excess Returns

Alpha in private markets is excess return above a benchmark. Five sources: information asymmetry, operational improvements, multiple arbitrage, valuation gaps, and roll-ups.

FAQ

Common questions

How is this calculator different from other business valuation tools?
Every other calculator gives you one number. Value Alpha gives you a range - a VA Range with bear, base, and bull estimates, a confidence score, and the comp count behind every output. A valuation without a range is a guess.
What methodology does the calculator use?
This page runs a single engine: industry median EBITDA multiples from 11,000+ SMB comps, adjusted for your growth rate and margin profile. A full Value Alpha valuation runs the full set of VA engines - DCF, Comparable Companies, Precedent Transactions, Bottom-Up unit economics, Asset Floor, Monte Carlo, plus sector-specific engines like LBO, Sum-of-Parts, and Biotech SOTP - and blends them using industry-specific weight rules.
How accurate is this estimate?
It is a screening estimate, not a formal appraisal. The confidence score on every output tells you how tight the range is. For a real decision - a sale, a buy, a partner buyout, or a lender - run the full set of VA engines and receive a detailed valuation report.
What is the difference between EBITDA and SDE?
EBITDA is used for businesses where the owner does not work in the business. SDE (Seller's Discretionary Earnings) adds the owner's compensation back - it is the standard metric for smaller owner-operated businesses. For this calculator, enter whichever your financials report. The multiples adjust automatically.
Do I need to enter my real financials?
No. Enter any numbers you like. Nothing is stored. Nothing is sent to a server. The calculator runs entirely in your browser.
What is a VA Range?
The VA Range is Value Alpha's signature output: a named, range-based estimate with a confidence score and full source trail. It is the private-market equivalent of Bloomberg's BVAL or Morningstar's Fair Value Estimate. Every paid valuation produces one.
The Next Step

Twenty-nine valuation methods. One defensible VA Range.

When the number matters - a sale, a buy, a buyout, a lender - a screening estimate is not enough. Run the full set of VA engines.

Run a valuationRead the thesis
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